If we wish to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a great sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and a few nice guaranteed profitable bets can be found if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are numerous inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways be about timing. The sooner the price appears the much more likely you will see a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do plenty of research as soccer has now become a big earner to them. They have to do this as they are only too conscious that the serious punters are becoming much shrewder in this particular market and can exploit any snippets of news that could provide them with an advantage. They advertise heavily in the tabloids.
Whereas in a few minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler employed by the bookmaker soccer is simply too lucrative for this any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for your big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer you odds on soccer, its a high revenue turnover sport.
Such is the turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes as well as other such big bookmakers are prepared to require a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This really is clearly great news for the arb maker. Which means that the highest bets they are going to accept on a bet are a lot higher.
There are numerous types of soccer bets. Firstly there is a match winner. This can be split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. There are the initial goal scorer and also the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total quantities of yellow and red cards and so forth. Actually anything where odds can be set to will offer you a betting opportunity.
So that are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly forget about predicting the match score, you can find too many outcomes. The very first goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these kinds of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the percentages consistently being offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have far too many possible outcomes. We are searching for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer marketplace is to start accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions on this sport. They will price in the sport in their own individual country and the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy compared to UK, with newspapers focused on the game. Everyone thinks they know best about this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This can be great news for people. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where since they may well have greater detailed knowledge of the comings and goings in their own countries they are depending on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is at midweek games between groups of different nationalities. You will find a tendency in punters to have patriotic with regards to events where opposition are ‘foreign’. The likelihood of the home team get talked up and the odds could easily get skewed within their favour as the weight of income is overly wagered inside their direction.
With that said the major bookmakers offer an early price, they will likely often advertise it inside the national papers and generally stick with it. Which means that a bench mark has been set and subsequent bookmakers may require a different opinion or try to tempt money in their direction by giving different odds. If the were to happen the arb may be available for a large amount of time.
You will always find discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers tend to stick round the same price. They figure there is certainly safety in numbers. But bear in mind they are ‘guessing’ what the odds needs to be just like you and me. They are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae but they still must form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can get it wrong along with other firms can require a totally different look at the end result of a game. A totally different view will only result in a slight variation in the odds but this can be enough to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to begin with the better obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They are protected by many different bookmakers throughout Europe. This will however give a complication. Although quite simple for finding arbs, the mere fact that you concentrate on these obscure matches will throw in the possibility that you are likely to get spotted by the bookmakers in the event you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be unwilling to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the pros and cons of the strategy.
It is a fairly obscure part of betting and when someone was to check your money over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it may ring alarm bells. The motto here is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different kind of sport and events as you can so your accounts have varied bets on them. This shouldn’t be a problem as many different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The greater prominent European ties will also produce arbs plus they are more unlikely to attract attention to you and also the maximum bets is going to be higher.
As before you can not control whether or not the individual bets win or lose but soccer is actually a 3 way result therefore 2 losing bets to a single winning one can be of use on the account. The point the following is that not lots of people are thinking about the lower European divisions plus it may become clear the betting pattern is a touch unusual. This is especially valid if your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can become a lucrative area in soccer. Think about it. When a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and then he is the teams star striker than the will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned approximately play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play on the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. But the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this particular and altered prices as the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This type of last minute frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair that you can serve as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the many soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television stations also have comprehensive news coverage of all games and are quick to offer you any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, however, not all simultaneously, only one at a time so creating sure bets.
In this scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The newest price is one that wont change the existing price is one that is about to and thus may be lost should you be not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be information on timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are more inclined to show up.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient inside the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for the total quantity of bookings in a game. Some of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly as well as others failed to. This can affect the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s glance at the red and yellow card market. Should you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points for any red. A player can obtain a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting the following is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, by far the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a record of animosity in between the teams in which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet will not figure strongly within your plans. Plus it is unusual to locate information being issued which will affect the total bookings bet. But an easy bit of news like the policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to one or more arb. The actual final outcome will not be can be expected too much sure betting activity from your issuing of red and yellow cards however it simple enough to check the odds.